The growth rate of electricity consumption may con

2022-08-03
  • Detail

The growth rate of electricity consumption in August may continue to slow down

"the experimental force in July means that there is no expected large-area electricity gap at accuracy level 1, mainly because the air conditioning load does not increase much." Xuejing, director of the Statistics Department of the China Electricity Council, believes that as the economic growth slows down and the peak of power consumption in summer approaches the end, the growth of power consumption in August may further slow down, but the drought in the South may lead to negative growth in hydropower generation, which may affect the power supply in autumn and winter

according to the monthly power analysis report released by China Electricity Council on the 17th, the power consumption in July increased by 11.8% year-on-year, 1.2 percentage points slower than the previous month, "in a seasonally stable growth trend". The reason why there was no large-scale "power shortage" previously predicted was that the report believed that the main reason was that there was abundant precipitation in East China, central China and North China in July, there was no continuous high-temperature weather in the same period of the year, and the growth of air conditioning load was relatively slow. In May, the China Electricity Council warned that the national power gap would reach 30million kilowatts during the peak summer. The industry is still at the bottom of the downward trend. Some people believe that the weather factors, together with the power demand side management measures taken in time by various regions to curb high energy consumption and stagger peak load, may narrow the gap to 20million kW. The steady growth of industrial power consumption at a high level reflects the steady slowdown of China's economic growth in the process of in-depth adjustment. The report shows that in July, the national industrial power consumption increased by 11.8% year-on-year, of which the growth rate of light industrial power consumption was 8.19%, which has been lower than 10% for three consecutive months; The growth rate of heavy industry power consumption was 12.53%, 0.9 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. The electricity consumption of the four key industries of chemical industry, building materials, ferrous metal smelting and non-ferrous metal smelting increased steadily at a high level, with a year-on-year increase of 12.9% in July, but the month on month growth rate of electricity consumption of the building materials and ferrous metal industries decreased. "August is still the peak of power consumption. It is expected that the power consumption will maintain a double-digit growth year-on-year, but the final storage method will continue to decline month on month compared with July." Xue Jing said. China Electricity Council predicts that the annual power consumption will increase by about 12% compared with last year, and the national power supply and demand will remain tight in the second half of the year

Copyright © 2011 JIN SHI